4/9/2022

Nba Over Under Strategy

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NBA Over/Under Tips. Svaki dan dobitni parovi!!! Pennst-mchst over 140. Stjoe-dayt over 125. Can-rider under 140. Iowa-ill over 114. Virg-duke over 145.5. Sofla-stj over 128. Cle-det over 180. Do not confuse it with over/under betting, where you are betting whether the total score of the teams will be over or under a predicted amount (see our Basketball Over/Under Betting article). The whole point is to provide an incentive for the bettors to wager on the underdogs and balance the sides on betting a little.

NBA Over/Under Bets. If you aren’t as interested in betting on a specific team at NBA sportsbooks online, over/under bets might be for you. These bets aren’t placed on one particular team to win, but rather, the total number of points both teams will score. Let’s take a look at our earlier example to see how an over/under bet works.
Free nba basketball team over/under trends and splits in simple, easy to read tables. This page tracks all games results.

“People who are really knowledgeable can pick us off in hockey, because even those who set the odds know less about hockey than about the NFL and NBA.” Kevin Bradley, Bovada sports book director.

The Best Handicappers know the NHL is by far the least bet on of the 4 major US sports and Sport books don’t put nearly as much effort in setting NHL betting lines as they do with the other 3 leagues. With a 6 month, 82 game regular season and another 2 months of playoffs there’s $ to be made taking advantage of this if you know what you’re doing. Top handicappers can pinpoint 1 or 2 games out of a full slate, that has the best value and take advantage of it. The money line, puck line, and total are the most popular bets. Understanding how to bet on hockey is very important because there are different odds for each individual bet. There are instances where if a bettor really believes in a favorite the payout for betting the puck line will payout way more than betting the money line. The majority of games are going to be 1 goal games and the totals goals scored usually are around the same so figuring which type of bet to place is important.

THE MONEY LINE
The money line is the most popular way people bet on the hockey.

PUCK LINE
The puck line is the spread. Bet on the favorite at -1.5 goals or the underdog at +1.5 goals. The line would look like this
Boston +1.5 (-180)
Montreal -1.5 (+160)
If you have confidence the favorite is going to roll their opponent this is the bet for you. High risk, high reward.

3. TOTALS
Totals are almost always set at O/U 5 or 5.5 goals but they’ll occasionally put a 6 on the board. Because these totals rarely change they change the risk on both bets. Totals will look like this

Anaheim 5.5 (-135) over
Toronto 5.5 (+110) under
The Over/Under over the entire season will usually split around 50/50 so you should have a strong opinion before betting the total.

Bradley said what serious NHL bettors already knew. The books don’t spend extensive time on hockey as they do on football and basketball. A person with even a moderate bankroll and patience can profit over the length of a season without much research. If you bet on only favorites over the course of an NFL or NBA season you will be broke in no time. Hockey is different. The good teams ring up wins over the mediocre/bad teams night after night. The books only defense of this is to raise the risk on betting on the favorite. It still doesn’t work. At the midseason mark the trends have proven that, as it has in previous years. If you took the top 8 teams at the (Anaheim, Nashville, Tampa, NY Islanders, Detroit, St Louis, Chicago, and Montreal) and blindly bet only when they were favored you would already be up a good amount. If you bet the exact odds posted, (for example Nashville -160 to win $100) on EVERY game these teams were favored youwould be up about 6k right now. It would be more if you take Chicago and Detroit out of the equation because those 2 teams along with Pittsburgh are bet on so extensively that they are favored almost every night with really high odds. Those 3 teams lose $ over the season but not as much as you might think. The top 8 teams last year would of netted you 8k and without Chicago over 10. Imagine what you could do with a little knowledge and research.

Using one of our Top NHL Handicappers can be very rewarding. The best handicappers turn a profit on betting the NHL year after year. NHL handicappers don’t always look at the most popular teams or big games, they understand the real value can be found in less popular and widely overlooked games. The books don’t spend as much time setting these odds because they know the public will bet on Chicago, Detroit and Pittsburgh. They make the bettor risk a lot more on these big money teams knowing the squares will lose over the long season. NHL Points leader Anaheim had a 9 day stretch in November as huge favorites against lowly Arizona, Vancouver, and Florida at home. They lost all 3 games. The best cappers knew during this stretch The Ducks 2 best goalies were fighting injuries while some of their best skaters were battling the flu. If you bet blindly on Anaheim that week you got crushed. Research and a top handicapper would of spun you towards the dogs and your bankroll would of grew. The most important thing to look at are the goalies. A hot goalie can shutout a top shelf team while an exhausted star has a better chance of giving up 3 or 4 goals to a middle of the pack team fighting for their playoff lives. A handicapper know things like defending champ Jonathon Quick hasn’t won a game in 3 weeks and is 23rd in goals against and 28th in save percentage on the season. Or how the Predators lost Vezina Trophy candidate Pekka Rinne for a month while the backup is just 1-4 on the season. Unless you are an experienced NHL bettor you’re not going to look up all this info and find value like a top NHL handicapper. A little bit of research and setting yourself up with the right capper can make the NHL season a very profitable one.

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It’s time to put your wagers down ahead of the 2019-20 NBA season.

With so much activity in the summer between big trades and even bigger signings, it’s a little tougher than usual to peg the over/unders for each of the 30 teams, but luckily, our Nick Schwartz and Charles Curtis have crunched the numbers, done hours and hours research and come up with their predictions (or, like everyone else, they’re just guessing!).

Here are their over/under takes as the Oct. 22 opening night gets closer with the Raptors and Pelicans playing, followed by Lakers-Clippers.

(All bets courtesy of BetMGM)

Atlanta Hawks: 33.5

Charles: Over

They won 29 games last season and play in the weaker conference. That and a step forward from this young roster is worth five victories.

Nick: Over

This one is probably going to come down to the wire, but I’m high on Trae Young and Cam Reddish.

Boston Celtics: 48.5

Charles: Over

Losing Al Horford will hurt a lot, but maybe Kemba Walker replacing Kyrie Irving will be what the locker room needs to just get to 49 wins again.

Nick: Under

This team only won 49 a year ago, and I’m not convinced they’re better off with Kemba Walker over Kyrie Irving, especially with Horford gone. Much will depend on Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, but I don’t feel especially comfortable betting on the Celtics to exceed expectations.

Brooklyn Nets: 45.5

Charles: Under

I loved this team last year, I think they’re in for big things when Kevin Durant returns. But I just don’t know if this roster without KD is ready to make the leap quite yet.

Nick: Over

I think there’s a nonzero chance Kyrie Irving has chemistry issues with his new teammates and we see a Boston 2.0 situation play out, but I’m banking on Caris LeVert to look like the borderline All-Star he was before his injury last year.

Charlotte Hornets: 23.5

Charles: Under

UNDER! UNDERUNDERUNDERUNDER! Does that cover it?

Nick: Under

23.5 wins is not very many wins… but this team is gross.

Chicago Bulls: 32.5

Charles: Over

I’m intrigued! Not “they’re totally sneaking into the playoffs” intrigued, but I think this roster — with vets including Thaddeus Young and Otto Porter Jr. — will be good enough to hit the over.

Nick: Over

The Bulls made some solid moves in the offseason, and this may be the Lauri Markkanen breakout year.

Cleveland Cavaliers: 24.5

Charles: Under

This is assuming the franchise trades Kevin Love at some point.

Nick: Under

The Cavaliers have some interesting young pieces that could potentially drag this franchise toward .500 in the coming years – but this team is a project, and they’ll probably need to move Kevin Love whenever they can.

Dallas Mavericks: 40.5

Charles: Under

I love the idea of Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis playing together, plus there are a lot of sneaky-good rotation guys in the mix. But! Are we sure Porzingis will stay completely healthy? Can they really win 41 times in the West? I’m nervous. This one is going to be close.

Nick: Under

Even with the Warriors and Thunder bracing for a nosedive in the standings, there are too many good teams in the West.

Denver Nuggets: 52.5

Charles: Under

Another team I love watching, but are they going to get left in the dust with the conference improving all over the place?

Nick: Under

This team won 54 games a year ago, when they were comparatively stronger relative to the field in the West. Denver was 5-2 against the Lakers and Clippers last season. They might go 2-5 this year.

Detroit Pistons: 37.5

Charles: Over

A second-straight .500 season seems about right here.

Nick: Over

Blake Griffin quietly put up his best season since 2014 last year with the Pistons. This team can hang in the East, barring injuries.

Golden State Warriors: 47.5

Charles: Over

Are we so sure they’re going to be so much worse? Are we so sure Klay Thompson is going to miss that much time? I’ll take the over — there’s no way they lose 10 fewer games than last season.

Nick: Under

It remains to be seen if this team can stop any opposing guards, and the loss of Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson (for a significant period) is too much to bear. There’s no doubt in my mind that Durant and Thompson are worth around 10 wins over the course of a season, and the West is even more dangerous than it was a year ago.

Houston Rockets: 53.5

Charles: Under

I just don’t know about Russell Westbrook figuring out how to share with James Harden, so while they’re probably a 50-plus win team, they end up just missing.

Nick: Over

I have reservations about the Westbrook-Harden combo, but I still think they’ll cruise in the regular season before imploding in the playoffs, in true Rockets fashion.

Indiana Pacers: 46.5

Charles: Over

They’re deep as heck and picked up some key role players this offseason. I’m fairly confident with this one.

Nick: Over

This was a good team without Victor Oladipo for much of the season last year, and he should be back by December or January. Comfortably over, here.

Los Angeles Clippers: 54.5

Charles: Over

Here’s your No. 1 seed in the West, which gets them to 55 victories or more.

Nick: Under

The Clippers will likely lead the league in load management, and Paul George is already expected to miss at least the first month of the season. I think the Clippers sacrifice the regular season to be as prepared as possible for the postseason.

Los Angeles Lakers: 51.5

Charles: Under

I’m not buying it. I worry about the backcourt and about how they make Anthony Davis and Dwight Howard/JaVale McGee work. So I’ll assume they’re a playoff team at 49 to 50 wins.

Nick: Over

Kyle Kuzma is the X-factor here, and the Lakers won’t be rushing him back as he recovers from a stress reaction in his foot. Still, LeBron James was putting up MVP-level numbers last year before his injury, and Anthony Davis is my pick to win the 2020 MVP award. With the Rockets, Thunder and Warriors all potentially falling in the standings, the wins will be there for the taking.

Memphis Grizzlies: 27.5

Charles: Under

I’m extremely excited for the Ja and Jaren Era, but it’s going to be painful in Year 1.

Nick: Under

I’m surprised this line wasn’t closer to 25.5 or 24.5. This team is going to struggle without Mike Conley.

Miami Heat: 43.5

Charles: Over

Jimmy Butler and a big year from Bam Adebayo cement them as a postseason team.

Nick: Over

This one feels like a trap, as I think the East is probably better than we’re giving it credit for, but Jimmy Butler is probably worth the bump they need from a year ago.

Milwaukee Bucks: 57.5

Charles: Under

The No. 1 seed in the East is certainly right there for the taking. But maybe they take a little step back simply because of a regression to the mean?

Nick: Over

I’m not as high on the 76ers as many others are, and with Toronto losing Kawhi, the Bucks are the clear class of the Eastern Conference. The No. 1 seed is a lock.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 35.5

Charles: Under

Did they do anything of note this offseason to change a mediocre squad? Nope.

Nick: Under

Even if Karl-Anthony Towns takes a step forward and joins the MVP conversation – and that’s a big if – he has no help on this team.

New Orleans Pelicans: 39.5

Charles: Under

That seems a little high for an extremely young team of mostly newcomers.

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Nick: Under

Even if Zion Williamson exceeds his already sky-high expectations, which I suspect he won’t, 40 wins is too many to expect in the West from a group of Lakers castoffs and Jrue Holiday.

New York Knicks: 26.5

Charles: Under

Even getting to that terrible number seems like a lot to ask for the mishmash the front office put together after whiffing on the big free agents this offseason.

Nick: Under

I think people are sleeping on Julius Randle, who will emerge as a national star this season – but this roster is still weak.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 31.5

Charles: Under

Another one where I assume some deals will be made to leave a somewhat barebones roster even more gutted.

Nick: Under

The best thing the Thunder can do is jettison Chris Paul and let Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put in a full year to develop. They won’t win many games doing this, but this team is already focused on future drafts.

Orlando Magic: 41.5

Charles: Over

Things are starting to look up with this team — and hey, maybe Markelle Fultz will turn out to be good? — so I’ll take the over.

Nick: Under

This one’s on a razor’s edge, but enough teams have seemingly improved more significantly (Heat, Hawks, Nets, Pacers, Bulls), that I’m not sure the Magic repeat their 42-win season.

Philadelphia 76ers: 54.5

Charles: Over

It all comes together after a fantastic offseason, and the remade starting five carries the Sixers to the top seed in the East.

Nick: Over

I don’t think the Sixers are a better team than they were a year ago, and I need to see Ben Simmons draining jumpers before I believe it, but with the Celtics’ overhaul and the Raptors’ losing Kawhi in the Atlantic, I do think the Sixers will post a better record this season.

Phoenix Suns: 28.5

Charles: Under

What, are Ricky Rubio and Dario Saric suddenly worth 10 wins? No thank you.

Nick: Under

There’s no chance.

Portland Trail Blazers: 46.5

Charles: Over

This team could very easily get to 50 wins even with the improvements made by others around them.

Nick: Over

The Blazers won 53 last season, and while they’ll be without Jusuf Nurkic indefinitely, Hassan Whiteside should be a serviceable replacement.

Sacramento Kings: 37.5

Charles: Over

Sigh. They were on their way to a bottom-two postseason seed … and then the Western Conference got so much harder. I think they get to 39 wins again.

Nick: Under

Too many other teams in the West have improved more notably than the Kings, who only managed to re-sign Harrison Barnes and add Dewayne Dedmon and Trevor Ariza. It’ll be close, though.

San Antonio Spurs: 46.5

Charles: Under

If it is under, it won’t be by much.

Nick: Over

Dejounte Murray’s back! DeMar DeRozan is in year 2! LaMarcus Aldridge is still a stud!

Toronto Raptors: 46.5

Charles: Over

Yes, losing Kawhi Leonard hurts a lot, but they’re not bad enough to hit the under with OG Anunoby getting healthy and with a deep bench.

Nick: Under

There’s a logjam in the middle of the East, and the Raptors have to avoid both a post-championship letdown and make up for the loss of a top-3 player in the game.

Utah Jazz: 54.5

Charles: Under

The expectations are sky-high, as they should be, after Bojan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley were added. But 55 wins? That’s a little too sky-high for me.

Nick: Under